Laurel Mountain
Stoke today Aug 22
Snow, three ways next 24 hours
Forecast
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Next 48 hours
10-day outlook
In the forecaster’s words
Today
A chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
This Afternoon
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm, then showers and thunderstorms between 7pm and 10pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could be severe. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Southwest wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Sunday
A chance of rain showers before 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 70. West wind around 12 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday Night
A chance of rain showers between 7pm and 5am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. West wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Monday
A slight chance of rain showers before 7am. Partly sunny, with a high near 69. West wind 8 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Forecast discussion PHI · Aug 22 13:59
1. One disturbance passes off the Mid-Atlantic coast today, followed by a cold front late tonight through Sunday morning. A period of showers and thunderstorms is likely with localized flooding. 2. Fair weather is expected to return Monday and should last into the middle of next week.
Read the full discussion
000 FXUS61 KPHI 221759 AFDPHI Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 159 PM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Updated Aviation section for the 18Z TAFs. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1. One disturbance passes off the Mid-Atlantic coast today, followed by a cold front late tonight through Sunday morning. A period of showers and thunderstorms is likely with localized flooding. 2. Fair weather is expected to return Monday and should last into the middle of next week. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1...One disturbance passes off the Mid-Atlantic coast today, followed by a cold front late tonight through Sunday morning. A period of showers and thunderstorms is likely with localized flooding. The base of an upper trough associated with an H5 low over central Canada will move through the Mid-Atlantic later today. Some showers, perhaps a thunderstorm, will impact Delmarva and extreme southern New Jersey later this morning into early afternoon. However, the previous threat for flooding has diminished as the heaviest rain looks to stay south and east of the area. WPC has removed the Slight Risk (2/4) for Excessive Rainfall and the Marginal Risk (1/4) is focused on Delmarva and Cape May county in New Jersey. A cold front approaches tonight and the upper trough becomes negatively tilted over the Northeast. Another round of showers and possible thunderstorms will develop late tonight and continue into Sunday morning. Instability will be marginal with up to 500 or so J/kg of SBCAPE and MUCAPE, but 0-6 km Bulk Shear values will be upwards of 45 to 50 kt. CAMs showing the potential for some strong to possibly severe thunderstorms mainly north and west of Philadelphia and into northern New Jersey after midnight tonight and into the pre-dawn hours Sunday morning. Locally heavy rain may lead to instances of localized flash flooding in these areas as well. Cold front passes through the region Sunday morning with conditions improving for Sunday afternoon. KEY MESSAGE 2...Fair weather is expected to return Monday and should last into the middle of next week. More zonal flow with some subtle ridging moves in for the first half of the week. At the surface, high pressure will mainly be in control, resulting in dry and tranquil weather through Wednesday. Temperatures should be seasonable through this stretch. && .AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas. Rest of today...Mostly VFR across the terminals as of early afternoon (except KACY). Scattered showers across Delmarva and south NJ will keep lower conditions (MVFR) there. Lower conditions will develop toward evening. E-SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Low/Medium confidence. Tonight... Lower conditions with widespread MVFR for the evening then IFR mostly with Scattered showers and areas of fog. TSTMs may arrive late tonight as a front approaches. Continued with the VCTS for now with limited confid in TSTM occurrence. Low confidence. Outlook... Sunday night through Thursday...VFR expected most of the time. && .MARINE... Sub-Small Craft Advisory conditions on the waters today and tonight. East winds around 10 kt will become SE 10 to 15 kt later today and tonight. Ocean seas will average 2 to 3 ft. VSBY restrictions in showers and perhaps a thunderstorm today, then another round of showers and thunderstorms will impact the waters late tonight. Outlook... Sunday through Wednesday...No marine headlines expected. Showers continue Sunday morning, ending Sunday afternoon. Fair weather thereafter. Rip Currents... Today...East to southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with breaking waves of 2 to 3 feet and easterly swells with a period of 6 to 8 seconds will result in a MODERATE risk for the development of dangerous and life threatening rip currents for the Jersey Shore and a LOW risk for Delaware Beaches. On Sunday, winds shift to the southwest at 10 to 15 mph in the morning, then to the west in the afternoon. Breaking waves will be 1 to 2 feet with light southerly swells with a 6 to 8 second period. As a result, there is a LOW risk for the development of dangerous and life threatening rip currents at the Jersey Shore and at Delaware Beaches. For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi && .PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PA...None. NJ...None. DE...None. MD...None. MARINE...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...MPS/OHara/Staarmann AVIATION...OHara MARINE...MPS/OHara/Staarmann
Sources & last updated
- Weather data: MET Norway, licensed under CC BY 4.0 fetched Aug 22 18:04
- Forecast data: National Weather Service (weather.gov) fetched Aug 22 18:04
- Weather data: Open-Meteo (open-meteo.com), CC BY 4.0. Underlying models from NOAA, ECMWF, DWD, ECCC, JMA, MET Norway. fetched Aug 22 18:04